Thursday, November 11, 2004
- The Pirates re-signed Jose Mesa to a one-year, $2.5 million deal. Pittsburgh has taken many steps forward over the last few years, but all those steps back (Ty Wigginton?) add up. Mesa did have a good ERA last year and was rumored to be something of a deadline deal target. In fact, Mesa has had an ERA of 3.25 or less in three of the last four years. However, he's a 38-year-old reliever who hasn't had a K:BB ratio over 2.0 in three years. His FIP this year was 4.03, and his Davenport-translated K/9 sunk to a career-low 4.1. Is Pittsburgh in a position where it makes any sense to spend $2.5m on a reliever whose single-season innings pitched high over the last ten years is 82.1 in 1997? Almost certainly not. Even if you account for the near-total lack of quality relievers in Pittsburgh's minor league system, I don't see how a team that, absent shocking everyone by signing Carlos Beltran (yeah, right), has no shot of making the playoffs can spend that much on its bullpen. Mesa's track record and age is such that I'd say Pittsburgh has at least a 30% chance of getting better production out of whatever random reliever they pull off the scrap heap in February for the league minimum. Perhaps this one of Pittsburgh's annual sign-to-trade deals, in which case one must ask a) who would be willing to give up talent to pay Mesa a mil down the stretch and b) how likely it is that Mesa will be a more attractive commodity next season than he was this year when Pittsburgh couldn't move him.
- The proposed Green-for-Piazza swap is interesting. What needs to be noted is that this isn't a simple "challenge" trade. Rather, this trade would be mainly about proper management of organizational resources. Piazza's value to the Mets is minimized by Jason Phillips, whereas his marginal value to the Dodgers is maximized by the Dave Ross situation and the super-weak free agent catching market. This trade would have made more sense, however, before Jayson Werth's injury, because now a Green for Piazza trade would necessitate that the Dodgers acquire two corner outfielders for this year. If McCourt approves a payroll in the $95-100 mil range, that probably wouldn't be too difficult, assuming one of J.D. Drew or Magglio Ordonez would be willing to sign with the Dodgers. Steve Finley, of course, could be re-signed, but I don't think that his production this season is particularly indicative of his value over the next year or few years, and playing him in center and Bradley in right is a huge down-grade.
- If you're like me and you look up player's stats by typing in the url for their DT card -- you know, baseballprospectus/dt/lastnfi01.shtml-- then there's a good shot you saw Roberto Clemente's stats this week. Why? Because clemero is, so far as I can tell, the second-most productive DT card five letters of the last name/two letters of the first name combo in baseball history, as it encompasses Clemente as well as Roger Clemens. The two have combined for 211.7 WARP3, topping the 209.8 mark from ruthba (all from George Herman Ruth) and trailing only the 213.0 mark from bondsba (all from Barry).
- The death of Redbird Nation makes me sad, but the Hardball Times 2004 Annual makes me happy. A few Fourth Outfielder posts are currently in the works that will use some of the great stats/tables in THT's top-notch book, which I'm about half-way through already.
Over 120 of the nations best plays are available Free on this blog daily. If you would like to learn how the professionals make money for a living while actually providing a service about baseball betting and other related topics, visit us often. This bog, Notes and others like it provide a forum for all who wish to learn more about subjects like baseball betting and more. Blogger has done a great job laying the groundwork and this is the place to be!
If you are looking for the best information available about mlb baseball betting and other related subjects, this blog, Notes is a great place to start. Blogger has been kind enough to set up a place where all can meet and learn about mlb baseball betting and while posting to help others. Thanks and good luck!
If you are looking for the best information available about baseball betting final and other related subjects, this blog, Notes is a great place to start. Blogger has been kind enough to set up a place where all can meet and learn about baseball betting final and while posting to help others. Thanks and good luck!Post a Comment